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Case Study

The Heat Pump Conversion System

Residential HVAC, 6 techs4.7★ on Google, 138 reviewsPortland, OR metro

Client identity withheld.

Results

$57K

Booked and signed revenue in 90 days, at the shop's own prices

3 of 22

Stalled conversion quotes signed, worth $43K

290

Conversion-ready homes found in existing records

12

In-home estimates booked from that list, 1 already signed

Every quote

Now shows the confirmed incentives it qualifies for

14 of 14

New installs warranty-registered before the deadline

Company Profile

Company

Residential HVAC shop focused on heat pump conversions. ~$1.45M revenue, 4 service techs, 1 install crew of 2, the owner selling, and 1 office manager. ~2,200 past customers.

Stack

Field-service management software, a quoting tool, manufacturer warranty portals, utility incentive portals, financing partner portal.

Operating Need

Close more heat pump conversions by making incentives and financing clear, and find the homes most ready to convert.

The Challenge

More Portland homeowners were asking about replacing gas furnaces and old AC units with heat pumps, but the quotes came with higher upfront costs and questions about incentives. The owner knew which incentives applied, but writing that into every quote and following up took time he didn't have. Quotes stalled, and the shop's service history held hundreds of homes with aging furnaces that nobody had ever contacted about converting.

The Audit

We reviewed 12 months of quotes, the full service history and every install from the past 18 months.

Patterns Found

  • 22 unsigned conversion and system quotes from the past 12 months, totaling $304K
  • Most stalled quotes didn't show the incentives the equipment qualified for
  • 290 homes had a gas furnace 15+ years old or an aging AC unit
  • 3 of 38 installs in 18 months had missed the warranty registration window
  • Incentive paperwork was completed for fewer than half of eligible installs
  • Most quotes got one follow-up, then nothing

Homeowners wanted heat pumps. They needed clear numbers and someone to answer their questions before they'd commit.

The Architecture

Three systems working as six parts, built around the conversion decision.

Incentive Check

Confirms which utility and manufacturer incentives each quoted system qualifies for, so every quote shows the real final cost.

Quote Closer

Three follow-ups from the owner's name within 14 days, explaining incentives, financing, operating costs and warranty.

Conversion Opportunity Finder

Scored the service history for aging gas furnaces and AC units and ranked the 290 strongest conversion candidates.

Conversion Outreach

Sent top-ranked homes a personal message about converting, with an estimate offer and a brief for the owner.

Warranty and Paperwork Handler

Registers every install before the deadline and prepares incentive forms for the customer to sign.

Monday Recovered Revenue Report

One page every Monday with quotes signed, estimates booked and installs registered.

How the System Operates

The system checks incentives, follows up and handles paperwork. The owner does every estimate and every close.

  • Incentives are only mentioned once eligibility is confirmed
  • Price and discount questions always go to the owner
  • Incentive forms are never filed without the customer's signature

How It Flows

  1. 1Quotes and conversion-ready homes are ranked, with incentives checked
  2. 2Follow-ups and outreach go out from the owner's name
  3. 3Homeowners book estimates or sign, and installs are registered
  4. 4Every result is logged on the Monday report

The owner receives a written brief on every home before the estimate.

Implementation

StageFocusKey Results
Stage 1Quote and records audit$304K in stalled quotes and 290 conversion-ready homes ranked
Stage 2Setup and approvalIncentive rules by equipment line; follow-up and outreach messages approved
Stage 3LaunchAll 22 quotes followed up within 14 days; outreach to top-ranked homes
Stage 4InstallsWarranty and paperwork handling live; Monday reports every week

Ownership

The shop now owns a heat pump sales process and a list of its best conversion prospects.

A ranked list of open quotes and conversion-ready homes

Incentive eligibility rules by equipment line

A warranty registration log for every install

Every Monday report

Operational Impact

Homeowners considering a heat pump now see the real cost after incentives and get answers to their questions on schedule. The owner starts each week with a ranked list of homes ready to convert, and every install leaves registered with its paperwork done. The shop is turning a growing market into signed work.

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